Climate deniers claim that the world has always changed, that the U.S. has no problems. So what if we have severe storms that destroy people and kill people, rising sea levels wiping out coastal structures, excessive heat that kills more people, wildfires exacerbated from drought and heat. Let’s just wait until the “weather” changes, so sayeth these deniers. A question for them is what they will do when they no longer have food and water because of the droughts. And the problem is hitting the entire United States. The western half of the U.S. suffers a drought; the eastern part has severe floods. And parts of the West may have flash floods following the severe drought.
Seven states in the West are facing the federal government’s reduction of Colorado River water allocations to Arizona and Nevada because they missed the deadline to develop a new water-sharing agreement. Arizona loses 21 percent of its former allocation, and Nevada will be down by 8 percent. The river serves seven states: Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming in the Upper Basin and Arizona, California, and Nevada in the lower one.
The agreement was made a century ago when the river had much more water; now the region faces a 30-year drought that may last until 2030, the worst stretch for the region in over a millennium. As the climate warms, the snowpack feeding the 1,450 mile river steadily dimished, and ever-drier soils absorb runoff before it can reach reservoirs. More frequent extreme heat speeds up evaporation. For the first time, Lake Mead, fed by the Colorado River, will be at a Tier 2 shortage in January, 1,050 feet below sea level. The expected level of 3,522 feet at Lake Powell is only 32 feet above an electricity-generating threshold known as the “minimum power pool.” [Lake Powell reservoir after three-fourths of its water disappeared.]
Kyle Roerink, executive director at the Great Basin Water Network, said the breakdown came from parties being focused only a deal benefiting themselves at the expense of others instead of a mutually beneficial agreement. They’re “talking about for legislation, litigation, other tactics to try and get the best deal, they believe, for their respective constituencies.”
Christopher Kuzdas, a senior water program manager with the Environmental Defense Fund, said that not all the water needed to be taken from the system during the past 20 years, but ignoring that possibility brought down the levels in Lake Mead and Lake Powell. Other sources said that states kept drawing water to keep up its portion of the river withdrawals. Republicans in Arizona and Nevada should be grateful to the billions of dollars in drought preparedness provided by the Inflation Reduction Act, a new law that all their GOP representatives opposed. Thanks to Democrats, the two states can share in the $4 billion to rent, buy or save water for the beleaguered basin.
Why should anyone outside those seven states care about their problems? Eighty percent of the Colorado River’s water goes to irrigate 15 percent of the nation’s farmland and produce 90 percent of winter vegetables. There goes the food for the rest of the U.S.
A new study has mapped the “extreme heat belt” by 2053 where the heat index can reach 125°F at least one day a year. Part of the belt is a three-state swath from Texas to Alabama through Iowa and Illinois into southern Wisconsin. Other parts go north from Florida to southern Pennsylvania, primarily along the coasts and southern California, Arizona, and New Mexico. The interactive map is here. The number of people suffering in this belt will rise to 107 million by 2053, but many coastal areas will have the 125°F by 2030. The states most likely to see the greatest growth in dangerous days are Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Florida with the greatest changes primarily in Florida. Many places currently with heat indices above 100°F for over 20 straight days may have 74 consecutive days by 2053.
The megadrought in the West, worst in 1,200 years, is also causing problems with cattle-raising as pastures wither. Ranchers are forced to decide whether to sell early for less money or pray for rain—and lose everything. Eight-five percent of ranchers are selling part of their herds, and some farmers are even selling their breeding stock. Herds are down by 2.4 percent since last year, a decrease of 750,000 cows and a fall of two million since 2018. Cattle sales jumped to 120 percent in the last two weeks of July above the 2021 levels. Consumers will pay higher prices for meat for at least two more years.
The drought is lowering the level of the massive Ogallala Aquifer stretching underneath most of the Great Plains, much of it growing the protein-rich cattle feed. Over 80 percent of the West is in severe drought this year, up from 20 percent last year, and other three-fourths of farmers have pulled farmland out of production. During the last serious drought in Texas, 2008 to 2011, the state herd fell from 5.1 million to 3.9 million.
Beef and dairy cattle make up 62 percent of the 8.1 gigatons of global greenhouse gas emissions released worldwide by livestock. That means the world’s cattle industry is responsible for more emissions than the U.S. at 4.8 gigatons in 2021.
Chickens and pigs can be raised in captivity, but breeding beef cattle in confinement is difficult. About 27 percent of all cattle sold in the U.S. comes from herds of under 50. These small producers are the hardest hit by the drought. These are the ones liquidating herd sizes, especially because the younger generation doesn’t want to continue the business. As they leave, big business, such as Brazil’s JBS, takes over and charges higher prices which doesn’t go to the farmers and then use the prices as reason to import more beef from countries such as Brazil and Australia. Loss of these businesses destroys an entire chain of businesses from gate and fence installers to large animal veterinarians.
The climate disasters have been building throughout the past few years as the number of “billion-dollar” climate calamities increases. In the past four decades, the U.S. had an average of 7.7 annual billion-dollar disasters, but the annual average jumped to almost in the past five years. The last two years had 22 and 20, respectively with 2021 the seventh consecutive year of ten or more separate billion-dollar disasters. The 2021 cost was estimated $145 billion with almost 700 people killed. More statistics. If the country doesn’t suffer from drought, as in the map above, it may suffer from flooding. The East Coast is subject to losing its land and buildings from rising sea levels.
A majority of people in the U.S.—71 percent—said their community experienced at least one form of extreme weather in the past year: heat, flooding, drought, wildfires or rising sea levels. These hazards are responsible for worsening 58 infectious diseases such as malaria, hantavirus, cholera, and anthrax. In addition, 233 non-infectious sicknesses such as allergies, asthma, and even animal bites can be connected to these climate hazards. Although the study did not find specific causation, scientists say that the results are a warning about climate and health.
The Supreme Court justices recommended by the Federalist Society and appointed by DDT were purchased by big business, including the Koch brothers and their Americans for Prosperity closely tied to Leonard Leo, Federalist Society co-chair. With the support of Koch’s Republican Attorneys General Association and four Koch-funded entities, the opinion in West Virginia v. the EPA removed the government agency’s ability to make decisions to delay climate change with a congressional law.
The Republicans have decided to focus on inflation as their campaign talking point, hoping people will ignore the myriad problems they have caused for people besides climate change—DDT’s corruption, insurrection, anti-abortion, COVID, etc., etc. But the change in climate is a prime mover of increased prices. In the conservative Hill, David Super uses a loaf of bread to demonstrate how prices are rising across the board.
With the drought cutting back wheat in the dry regions, bakers must find an alternative supply. Oats might have come from a flooded region where half the crop was destroyed. Barley comes from the West, suffering from wildfires. The millet crops might be caught up in tornadoes where it’s stored in silos, and flax might be destroyed in ships downed by hurricanes. Prices go up because the same number of bakers bid for the product cut in half. And that’s just bread which is a prominent staple. People pay more for this one item at the grocery store or more for their meals they eat out. Higher prices for bread can mean higher prices for other food items.
Trouble growing wood and other building materials increase housing costs, and skyrocketing weather-related claims cause insurance companies to sharply raise premiums or deny homeowners coverage. Calamities also cause shortages in habitable areas. Disasters result in higher utility costs from both government and private companies, and transportation prices go up after storms damage bridges and wash out roads. The need for higher prices might be temporary, but businesses figure they can make them permanent and make a higher profit.
Thanks to conservative climate deniers who control the laws in the Senate, the people in the U.S. are on the way to shortages that are faced in non-developed countries from the U.S. rapid depletion of its resources and in the ocean.